Geopolitical risk & intelligence advisory

Strategic foresight.
All in the detail.

Tailored, client-specific analysis that helps you anticipate what comes next — built on open sources, informed interlocutors and field visits.

Focus: Middle East & North Africa · Horn of Africa

About

Independent political and security analysis

Independent political and security analyst with over 20 years’ experience delivering intelligence reports, threat assessments, and strategic insights for the United Nations, international tribunals, and other agencies.

I specialise in helping organisations understand complex political and security environments so they can make informed decisions, manage risk, and operate safely.

What we do

Four disciplines, one aim: decisions informed by the full picture.

01

Geopolitical analysis

Fusing information from open sources, informed interlocutors and field visits, we provide tailored reporting with client-specific analysis that offers strategic foresight. We focus on MENA and the Horn of Africa but can leverage expertise across other geographical and subject-matter areas.

02

Scenario modelling

Using structured analytical techniques, we anticipate possible outcomes and identify warnings and indicators that inform strategy and allow contingency planning.

03

Situational awareness

We provide active monitoring of flash points and crisis events with the ability to provide rapid threat assessments.

04

Imagery analysis

We use tactical imagery analysis and geolocation to support broader assessments and can provide stand-alone analytical products.

Our approach

Multiple sources. One clear assessment.

We fuse information from different streams and apply structured analytical techniques, so every product is tailored to your questions — not generic reporting.

  1. Open sources

    Systematic collection and verification of publicly available information.

  2. Informed interlocutors

    Insight from trusted contacts with direct knowledge of the ground.

  3. Field visits

    First-hand observation where it matters most.

  4. Tailored analysis & strategic foresight

    Client-specific reporting, scenarios with warnings and indicators, and rapid threat assessments when events unfold.

Regional focus

MENA

Middle East & North Africa

HoA

Horn of Africa

Beyond our core regions, we can leverage expertise across other geographical and subject-matter areas.

Contact

Facing a complex environment? Let’s talk.

Tell us about your requirements and we will propose an analytical product that fits — in confidence.

Your details are used only to respond to your enquiry.